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What will be the primary political response within Lebanon to the Israeli airstrike by November 30, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased support for Hezbollah • 25%
Calls for international intervention • 25%
Internal political turmoil • 25%
Calls for peace negotiations • 25%
Official statements from Lebanese political leaders or major news agencies
Story
Israeli Airstrike on Beirut Suburbs Kills 9, Injures 59
Sep 20, 2024, 02:35 PM
The Lebanese Ministry of Health has reported that an Israeli airstrike on the southern suburbs of Beirut has resulted in at least nine deaths and 59 injuries, including eight in critical condition. The strike targeted a residential building and is believed to have included senior Hezbollah members among the casualties. Initial reports indicated three deaths and 17 injuries, but the toll has since risen. The incident has escalated tensions between Israel and Hezbollah.
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Diplomatic protest • 25%
Military action • 25%
Appeal to the United Nations • 25%
Other • 25%
Condemnation of Israel • 25%
Appeal to United Nations • 25%
Military response • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
Military retaliation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other • 25%
Government Resignation • 25%
New Elections Announced • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Other • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Military retaliation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other • 25%
Government instability • 25%
Increased support for Hezbollah • 25%
Increased support for pro-Western factions • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Resignation of a key Lebanese politician • 25%
Increased military actions against Israel • 25%
Formal diplomatic protest to the UN • 25%
No significant political change • 25%
Formal condemnation by the UN • 25%
Sanctions against Israel • 25%
Increased diplomatic tensions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Hezbollah retaliation • 25%
Government condemnation • 25%
Public protests • 25%
Other • 25%
Sanctions on Israel • 25%
Sanctions on Hezbollah • 25%
Peace Talks Proposed • 25%
Other • 25%
Condemnation of Israel • 25%
Support for Israel • 25%
Calls for restraint from both sides • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Government collapse • 25%
New elections called • 25%
Increased military actions • 25%
No significant political change • 25%