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What will be the outcome of U.S.-TikTok negotiations by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Talks collapse • 25%
No negotiations • 25%
Official announcements from TikTok, U.S. government, or credible news sources
Story
Trump's National Security Adviser Mike Waltz Explores Options to Preserve TikTok for Donald Trump
Jan 16, 2025, 02:24 AM
President-elect Donald Trump is considering strategies to maintain the presence of TikTok in the United States, according to his choice for national security adviser, Florida Representative Mike Waltz. Waltz, who previously served as a counterterrorism advisor to Dick Cheney, stated on Wednesday that the administration is exploring various options to 'preserve' the popular social media platform. This initiative comes amid ongoing discussions regarding TikTok's operations in the U.S. and its implications for national security.
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No resolution • 33%
Resolution reached • 33%
Ongoing negotiations • 34%
No action taken • 25%
Regulation • 25%
Ban • 25%
Ban TikTok • 25%
No action • 25%
Impose restrictions • 25%
Other • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok's U.S. operations • 25%
TikTok wins appeal and continues operations • 25%
TikTok is banned from U.S. app stores • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Divestment completed • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Sold to Elon Musk • 25%
Sold to another U.S. entity • 25%
Sold to Elon Musk's X • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Not sold, ban overturned • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
Operations banned in the U.S. • 25%
Other • 25%
Supreme Court delays or overturns the ban • 25%
Supreme Court upholds ban and TikTok shuts down • 25%
TikTok sold to an approved buyer • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Continues operations without change • 25%
Acquired by Elon Musk • 25%
Acquired by another entity • 25%
Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Ban lifted permanently • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban suspended • 25%
No change • 25%
Sold to Non-US Company • 25%
Other Resolution • 25%
Remains with ByteDance • 25%
Sold to US Company • 25%
Not banned, no divestment • 25%
Banned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Not banned, but ByteDance divests • 25%
Not sold • 25%
Sale postponed • 25%
Sold to McCourt and O’Leary • 25%
Sold to another party • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
TikTok sold to US company • 25%
Other • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
ByteDance divests • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Acquisition Unsuccessful • 25%
Acquisition Successful • 25%
Negotiations Extended • 25%
Deal Canceled • 25%