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What will be the outcome of legal discussions on TikTok's U.S. status by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban suspended • 25%
Ban lifted permanently • 25%
No change • 25%
Legal documents, government announcements, or major news outlets
Story
Trump Requests Suspension of Federal Law Threatening TikTok Ban in the United States
Dec 28, 2024, 07:59 AM
Donald Trump has requested the suspension of a federal law that threatens to ban TikTok in the United States. This move comes amid ongoing discussions regarding the app's future in the country, which has faced scrutiny over data privacy and security concerns. Trump's appeal reflects his continued engagement with the platform and its user base, as well as the broader implications for social media regulation in the U.S.
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No action taken • 25%
Impose restrictions • 25%
Ban TikTok • 25%
Ban • 25%
Regulation • 25%
No action • 25%
Other • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Divestiture completed • 25%
Ban upheld, TikTok banned • 25%
Ban upheld, ByteDance divests • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
TikTok wins appeal and continues operations • 25%
TikTok is banned from U.S. app stores • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok's U.S. operations • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
ByteDance divests • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 34%
Resolution reached • 33%
No resolution • 33%
Divestment postponed • 25%
Divestment blocked • 25%
Divestment proceeds • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Overturned - No action required • 25%
Other • 25%
Upheld - TikTok must be shut down • 25%
Upheld - TikTok must be sold • 25%
Ban delayed, temporary reprieve • 25%
Ban overturned, TikTok operations continue • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Ban upheld, TikTok banned • 25%
Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Operational changes without sale • 25%
Sold to U.S. company • 25%
Remains with ByteDance • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban is enforced • 25%
Ban is reversed by Trump • 25%
Ban is temporarily blocked by Supreme Court • 25%