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What will be the outcome of the TikTok acquisition bid by January 19, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Acquisition Successful • 25%
Acquisition Unsuccessful • 25%
Negotiations Extended • 25%
Deal Canceled • 25%
Official announcements from ByteDance or the acquiring parties
Story
Kevin O'Leary and Frank McCourt Bid to Buy TikTok from ByteDance, Seek Trump's Support to Prevent U.S. Ban
Jan 6, 2025, 08:58 PM
Shark Tank investor Kevin O'Leary has announced that he is joining with billionaire Frank McCourt in a bid to acquire TikTok from its Chinese parent company ByteDance to prevent the app from being banned in the United States. The multibillion-dollar deal aims to be finalized by January 19th. O'Leary plans to rewrite TikTok's algorithm to address security concerns. He met with President Donald Trump at Mar-a-Lago over the weekend to inform him of the plan and to request assistance from the administration, stating that they will need the government's help to close the deal.
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Sold to a non-U.S., non-Chinese company • 25%
Extension granted • 25%
No sale completed, TikTok banned • 25%
Sold to a U.S. company • 25%
ByteDance divests • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok's U.S. operations • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok wins appeal and continues operations • 25%
TikTok is banned from U.S. app stores • 25%
Banned in U.S. • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Sold to U.S. company • 25%
Remains with ByteDance • 25%
Divestment completed • 25%
No action taken • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Extension granted • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban upheld, TikTok banned • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
Ban upheld, ByteDance divests • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Divestiture completed • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Divestment blocked • 25%
Divestment proceeds • 25%
Divestment postponed • 25%
Sold to a non-U.S., non-Chinese company • 25%
No sale completed, TikTok banned • 25%
Further extension granted • 25%
Sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Ban is temporarily blocked by Supreme Court • 25%
Ban is enforced • 25%
Ban is reversed by Trump • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
Sold to US company • 25%
ByteDance retains ownership • 25%
Sold to non-US company • 25%
Microsoft • 25%
Oracle • 25%
Other company • 25%
Amazon • 25%