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What will be the outcome of U.S. legislative actions on TikTok by end of 2025?
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Rutgers University•Network Contagion Research Institute•TikTok•American•China•Chinese Communist Party
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ban TikTok • 25%
Impose restrictions • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Ban • 25%
Regulation • 25%
No action • 25%
Other • 25%
Official U.S. government announcements or legislative records
Story
Rutgers Study Finds TikTok Influences American Perceptions of China, With 80 Percent of Content Shaping Views
Jan 6, 2025, 03:49 PM
A new study conducted by Rutgers University's Network Contagion Research Institute (NCRI) has revealed that TikTok's algorithm may be influencing American users' perceptions of China and the Chinese Communist Party. The peer-reviewed research, described as the first of its kind, indicates that TikTok is actively manipulating beliefs through algorithmic bias. According to the findings, over 80% of the content generated on the platform may contribute to this effect. The study has sparked discussions regarding the implications of TikTok's influence and the U.S. government's previous considerations of banning the app due to concerns over its impact on American youth and public opinion about China.
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Ban suspended • 25%
No change • 25%
Ban lifted permanently • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Resolution reached • 33%
Ongoing negotiations • 34%
No resolution • 33%
ByteDance sells TikTok's U.S. operations • 25%
TikTok is banned from U.S. app stores • 25%
TikTok wins appeal and continues operations • 25%
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Ban delayed • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Divestiture completed • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
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ByteDance divests • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Sold to U.S. company • 25%
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Remains with ByteDance • 25%
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Ban upheld, TikTok banned • 25%
Ban upheld, ByteDance divests • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
TikTok sold to U.S. buyer • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
TikTok continues operations without change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
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Ban upheld • 25%
No sale completed, TikTok banned • 25%
Further extension granted • 25%
Sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Sold to a non-U.S., non-Chinese company • 25%
Ban is enforced • 25%
Ban is reversed by Trump • 25%
Ban is temporarily blocked by Supreme Court • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Deal Canceled • 25%
Acquisition Unsuccessful • 25%
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Negotiations Extended • 25%