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Market
Will a major U.S. media outlet publish an investigative report on TikTok's influence by mid-2025?
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Rutgers University•Network Contagion Research Institute•TikTok•American•China•Chinese Communist Party
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Publication of an investigative report by a major U.S. media outlet such as The New York Times, The Washington Post, or CNN
Story
Rutgers Study Finds TikTok Influences American Perceptions of China, With 80 Percent of Content Shaping Views
Jan 6, 2025, 03:49 PM
A new study conducted by Rutgers University's Network Contagion Research Institute (NCRI) has revealed that TikTok's algorithm may be influencing American users' perceptions of China and the Chinese Communist Party. The peer-reviewed research, described as the first of its kind, indicates that TikTok is actively manipulating beliefs through algorithmic bias. According to the findings, over 80% of the content generated on the platform may contribute to this effect. The study has sparked discussions regarding the implications of TikTok's influence and the U.S. government's previous considerations of banning the app due to concerns over its impact on American youth and public opinion about China.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Resolution reached • 33%
No resolution • 33%
Ongoing negotiations • 34%
Unchanged • 25%
More favorable • 25%
Less favorable • 25%
Polarized • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Increased negative perception • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decreased negative perception • 25%
TikTok found culpable • 33%
TikTok cleared of wrongdoing • 33%
Inconclusive findings • 34%
