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What will be the outcome of Perplexity AI's merger proposal with TikTok U.S. by April 18, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Merger Completed • 25%
Merger Rejected • 25%
Merger Delayed • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Official announcements from Perplexity AI, ByteDance, or relevant regulatory bodies
Story
Perplexity AI Proposes $50 Billion Merger with TikTok U.S.; Trump May Extend Deadline
Jan 18, 2025, 08:08 PM
Perplexity AI, a relatively unknown tech firm backed by Jeff Bezos and Nvidia, has submitted an eleventh-hour bid to merge with TikTok U.S., according to sources familiar with the matter. The proposal, submitted to TikTok's parent company ByteDance, would create a new entity combining Perplexity AI, TikTok U.S., and New Capital Partners. The deal, which could value TikTok U.S. at over $50 billion, aims to prevent an impending shutdown of the popular social media platform in the United States. The merger would allow ByteDance's existing investors to retain their equity stakes and expand Perplexity AI's video presence. President Donald Trump is set to make an announcement and may grant a 90-day extension to finalize the deal.
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Similar markets
Deal Canceled • 25%
Negotiations Extended • 25%
Acquisition Unsuccessful • 25%
Acquisition Successful • 25%
$60 billion to $70 billion • 25%
Less than $50 billion • 25%
More than $70 billion • 25%
$50 billion to $60 billion • 25%
Supreme Court delays or overturns the ban • 25%
Other • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Sold to Elon Musk's X • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok sold to an approved buyer • 25%
Supreme Court upholds ban and TikTok shuts down • 25%
Divestment completed • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Sold to Elon Musk • 25%
Sold to another U.S. entity • 25%
Not sold, ban overturned • 25%
Operations banned in the U.S. • 25%
Negotiated Sale • 25%
Faced Ban • 25%
Addressed Security Concerns • 25%
Granted Extension • 25%
Acquired by another entity • 25%
Acquired by Elon Musk • 25%
Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Continues operations without change • 25%
TikTok sold to US company • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
Other • 25%
No sale completed, TikTok banned • 25%
Sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Further extension granted • 25%
Sold to a non-U.S., non-Chinese company • 25%
ByteDance divests and TikTok continues operations • 25%
Extension granted for divestment • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
TikTok is banned in the U.S. • 25%
Not acquired • 25%
No acquisition • 25%
Acquired by non-American company • 25%
Acquired by American company • 25%
TikTok is banned from U.S. app stores • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok's U.S. operations • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok wins appeal and continues operations • 25%