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Market
Will Perplexity AI and TikTok U.S. merger be completed by April 18, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcement from Perplexity AI or ByteDance
Story
Perplexity AI Proposes $50 Billion Merger with TikTok U.S.; Trump May Extend Deadline
Jan 18, 2025, 08:08 PM
Perplexity AI, a relatively unknown tech firm backed by Jeff Bezos and Nvidia, has submitted an eleventh-hour bid to merge with TikTok U.S., according to sources familiar with the matter. The proposal, submitted to TikTok's parent company ByteDance, would create a new entity combining Perplexity AI, TikTok U.S., and New Capital Partners. The deal, which could value TikTok U.S. at over $50 billion, aims to prevent an impending shutdown of the popular social media platform in the United States. The merger would allow ByteDance's existing investors to retain their equity stakes and expand Perplexity AI's video presence. President Donald Trump is set to make an announcement and may grant a 90-day extension to finalize the deal.
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Less than $50 billion • 25%
More than $70 billion • 25%
$60 billion to $70 billion • 25%
$50 billion to $60 billion • 25%
No merger • 25%
Other • 25%
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Perplexity AI • 25%
Acquired by non-American company • 25%
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Elon Musk • 25%
Another U.S. company • 25%
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Negotiations Extended • 25%
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Yes • 50%
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Operations banned in the U.S. • 25%
Supreme Court upholds ban and TikTok shuts down • 25%
TikTok sold to an approved buyer • 25%
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Divestment completed • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
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Sold to Elon Musk • 25%
