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What changes in control of Syrian territory will occur by 2025 following Erdogan's announcement?
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Tayyip Erdogan•Syria•Turkey•Justice and Development Party•AKP•Ankara•Erdogan•Syrian•Islamic State•ISIS•YPG•Assad regime
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased Turkish influence • 25%
Increased Syrian government control • 25%
Increased YPG control • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Reports from international observers and news agencies
Story
Erdogan Vows to Crush ISIS and YPG in Syria Post-Assad, Urges Foreign Withdrawal
Jan 15, 2025, 10:12 AM
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has issued a stern warning to all countries to cease their involvement in Syria, asserting that Turkey possesses the capability to decisively confront and eliminate all terrorist organizations within the country. Speaking at a parliamentary group meeting of his Justice and Development Party (AKP) in Ankara, Erdogan emphasized Turkey's readiness to collaborate with Syrian allies to crush groups such as the Islamic State (ISIS) and the Kurdish People's Protection Units (YPG). He specifically highlighted the YPG's occupation of nearly one-third of Syrian territory and its exploitation of the nation's natural resources, stating that the group faces an inevitable end if it does not disband and surrender its arms. Erdogan's comments come in the wake of the fall of the Assad regime, with Turkey expressing its commitment to support the new Syrian administration in rebuilding efforts and addressing security concerns.
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Turkey gains more control • 25%
Other groups gain control • 25%
Stalemate with no change • 25%
PKK/YPG regain control • 25%
SDF gains control • 25%
Turkish-backed forces gain control • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Stalemate with no change • 25%
Turkey gains control • 25%
Other groups gain control • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
PKK/YPG gains control • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased government control • 25%
Increased opposition control • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Conflict escalation • 25%
Loss of control • 25%
Partial control • 25%
Stable control • 25%
Controlled by local Syrian groups • 25%
Other status • 25%
Returned to Syrian government control • 25%
Remain under Turkish influence • 25%
Syrian government • 25%
Coalition forces • 25%
HTS • 25%
Other rebel groups • 25%
No change in control • 25%
Full control by Syrian government • 25%
Partial control by Syrian government • 25%
Other groups gain control • 25%
Increased control by Turkey • 25%
Other changes • 25%
Control remains unchanged • 25%
Increased control by YPG • 25%
Controlled by Syrian government • 25%
Controlled by rebel groups • 25%
Other/Unclear control • 25%
Controlled by Kurdish forces • 25%
Mixed control • 25%
Controlled by foreign powers • 25%
Controlled by rebel groups • 25%
Controlled by new Syrian government • 25%