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How will control of territories in northern Syria change due to Turkish operations by May 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Turkey gains more control • 25%
PKK/YPG regain control • 25%
Stalemate with no change • 25%
Other groups gain control • 25%
Reports from international conflict monitoring organizations and major news outlets
Story
Turkey Conducts Air Strike in Northern Iraq, Neutralizes 12 PKK/YPG Terrorists
Dec 3, 2024, 09:30 AM
Turkey has conducted a series of military operations in northern Iraq and Syria, targeting PKK and YPG terrorists. In northern Iraq's Metina region, an air strike on November 28-29, 2024, resulted in the neutralization of five PKK terrorists, as announced by the Turkish Ministry of National Defence. Additionally, in northern Syria, within the Euphrates Shield and Peace Spring operational regions, Turkish forces neutralized seven PKK/YPG terrorists. These operations reflect Turkey's ongoing efforts to combat terrorism in the region.
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SDF gains control • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Stalemate with no change • 25%
Turkish-backed forces gain control • 25%
SDF retains control • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Joint control established • 25%
Türkiye gains control • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
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Other groups gain control • 25%
Increased control by Turkey • 25%
Other changes • 25%
Increased control by YPG • 25%
Control remains unchanged • 25%
Syrian government regains control • 25%
Control remains contested • 25%
YPG retains control • 25%
Turkey gains control • 25%
Loss of control • 25%
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Partial control • 25%
Stable control • 25%
Other groups gain control • 25%
Full control by Syrian government • 25%
Partial control by Syrian government • 25%
No change in control • 25%
Increased Syrian government control • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased Turkish influence • 25%
Increased YPG control • 25%
Controlled by Syrian government • 25%
Controlled by other factions • 25%
Controlled by Turkey • 25%
Controlled by YPG • 25%
Other Kurdish groups • 25%
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Syrian government • 25%
YPG • 25%
Remain under Turkish influence • 25%
Other status • 25%
Controlled by local Syrian groups • 25%
Returned to Syrian government control • 25%
Syrian government forces • 25%
Turkey-backed forces • 25%
Kurdish militants • 25%
Other local factions • 25%