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Which key Syrian cities will Turkey-backed forces control by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Turkey-backed forces control Damascus • 25%
Turkey-backed forces control Aleppo • 25%
Turkey-backed forces control both Damascus and Aleppo • 25%
Neither city under Turkey-backed control • 25%
Reports from international news agencies and official government statements
Story
Trump: Turkey 'Holds the Key' to Syria After 'Unfriendly Takeover'; Praises Erdogan's Strong Army
Dec 16, 2024, 05:48 PM
President-elect Donald Trump praised Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan as 'very smart' and 'very tough,' noting that Erdogan is somebody he 'got along with great.' Trump stated that Turkey is behind the overthrow of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, describing it as an 'unfriendly takeover without a lot of lives being lost.' He emphasized that Turkey has 'not been worn out with war' and has built a 'very strong, powerful army.' Trump suggested that Turkey will 'hold the key' to what happens in Syria, adding that 'they've wanted Syria for thousands of years and now he got it.' He also mentioned that Turkey controls the rebels who took over from Assad and characterized Assad as 'a butcher' for his actions against children.
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Controlled by local Syrian groups • 25%
Remain under Turkish influence • 25%
Other status • 25%
Returned to Syrian government control • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Stable control • 25%
Partial control • 25%
Loss of control • 25%
Conflict escalation • 25%
Turkey gains control • 25%
Control remains contested • 25%
Syrian government regains control • 25%
YPG retains control • 25%
PKK/YPG regain control • 25%
Other groups gain control • 25%
Turkey gains more control • 25%
Stalemate with no change • 25%
Joint control established • 25%
SDF retains control • 25%
Türkiye gains control • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other groups gain control • 25%
Turkey gains control • 25%
PKK/YPG gains control • 25%
Controlled by rebel groups • 25%
Controlled by Kurdish forces • 25%
Controlled by Syrian government • 25%
Other/Unclear control • 25%
Government retains control • 25%
Rebels control major cities • 25%
International peacekeepers deployed • 25%
Equal control/shared control • 25%
Controlled by Kurdish forces • 25%
Other • 25%
Controlled by Syrian government • 25%
Controlled by Turkish-backed forces • 25%
Kurdish militants • 25%
Turkey-backed forces • 25%
Other local factions • 25%
Syrian government forces • 25%