Market
Will Mozambique declare a state of emergency due to protests by January 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official government statements or credible news reports
Story
Over 1,534 Prisoners Escape Maputo Jail Amid Protests, 33 Dead and 15 Injured
Dec 25, 2024, 09:37 PM
On December 25, 2024, more than 1,500 prisoners escaped from a maximum-security prison in Maputo, Mozambique, amid ongoing protests linked to the disputed results of the recent presidential election. The unrest, which has entered its third day, followed the confirmation of the ruling Frelimo party's victory, a result that has been met with accusations of fraud from opposition groups. The prison break occurred during a riot that resulted in at least 33 deaths and 15 injuries, according to local police. The escapees took advantage of the holiday season, when fewer guards were on duty. As of now, approximately 150 of the escapees have been recaptured. The situation has raised concerns over public safety and the response of law enforcement amid the political turmoil in the country.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Government Concessions • 25%
Continued Unrest • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Opposition Gains Power • 25%
Frelimo retains power • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
Other political outcome • 25%
Opposition gains power • 25%
Diplomatic Talks • 25%
No Major Action • 25%
Humanitarian Aid • 25%
Sanctions Imposed • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Minimal participation and little impact • 25%
No significant participation • 25%
Widespread participation and significant impact • 25%
Moderate participation with some impact • 25%
Official condemnation • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Mediation initiated • 25%
No significant action • 25%