Market
Will unrest in Mozambique related to the disputed election results end by February 29, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from international news agencies and local government announcements
Story
Over 1,500 Prisoners Escape in Mozambique, Causing 33 Deaths and 15 Injuries; 150 Recaptured
Dec 25, 2024, 08:46 PM
More than 1,534 prisoners escaped from a high-security prison in Maputo, Mozambique, amid ongoing protests over disputed election results. The escape occurred on Christmas Day, following the third day of unrest triggered by the confirmation of the ruling Frelimo party's victory in the recent elections. The prison break resulted in at least 33 deaths and 15 injuries during clashes with prison staff. National police chief Bernardino Rafael reported that 150 of the escapees have been recaptured, including 29 terrorists. The unrest in Mozambique has led to a total of at least 150 deaths since the announcement of the election results, with reports of violence and vandalism across the country.
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Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Frelimo retains power • 25%
New elections held • 25%
Coalition government formed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
New elections called • 25%
Opposition declared winner • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Frelimo confirmed as winner • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Official condemnation • 25%
Mediation initiated • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Continued Unrest • 25%
Opposition Gains Power • 25%
Government Concessions • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Diplomatic Talks • 25%
Humanitarian Aid • 25%
No Major Action • 25%
Sanctions Imposed • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Other response • 25%
Mediation efforts initiated • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Stable with minor unrest • 25%
Unstable with significant protests • 25%
Stable with resolution of disputes • 25%
Escalating into crisis • 25%