Market
Will there be an international intervention in Mozambique due to ongoing unrest by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from international organizations such as the United Nations or African Union
Story
Over 1,500 Prisoners Escape in Mozambique, Causing 33 Deaths and 15 Injuries; 150 Recaptured
Dec 25, 2024, 08:46 PM
More than 1,534 prisoners escaped from a high-security prison in Maputo, Mozambique, amid ongoing protests over disputed election results. The escape occurred on Christmas Day, following the third day of unrest triggered by the confirmation of the ruling Frelimo party's victory in the recent elections. The prison break resulted in at least 33 deaths and 15 injuries during clashes with prison staff. National police chief Bernardino Rafael reported that 150 of the escapees have been recaptured, including 29 terrorists. The unrest in Mozambique has led to a total of at least 150 deaths since the announcement of the election results, with reports of violence and vandalism across the country.
View original story
Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Other response • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Mediation efforts initiated • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Humanitarian Aid • 25%
Sanctions Imposed • 25%
Diplomatic Talks • 25%
No Major Action • 25%
Official condemnation • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Mediation initiated • 25%
Frelimo retains power • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Coalition government formed • 25%
New elections held • 25%
Opposition Gains Power • 25%
Government Concessions • 25%
Continued Unrest • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Other international intervention • 25%
UN-led intervention • 25%
NATO-led intervention • 25%
No international intervention • 25%
Escalating into crisis • 25%
Stable with resolution of disputes • 25%
Stable with minor unrest • 25%
Unstable with significant protests • 25%