Market
Will there be international intervention in Mozambique's political crisis by April 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from international organizations or credible news outlets
Story
Over 1,534 Prisoners Escape Maputo Jail Amid Protests, 33 Dead and 15 Injured
Dec 25, 2024, 09:37 PM
On December 25, 2024, more than 1,500 prisoners escaped from a maximum-security prison in Maputo, Mozambique, amid ongoing protests linked to the disputed results of the recent presidential election. The unrest, which has entered its third day, followed the confirmation of the ruling Frelimo party's victory, a result that has been met with accusations of fraud from opposition groups. The prison break occurred during a riot that resulted in at least 33 deaths and 15 injuries, according to local police. The escapees took advantage of the holiday season, when fewer guards were on duty. As of now, approximately 150 of the escapees have been recaptured. The situation has raised concerns over public safety and the response of law enforcement amid the political turmoil in the country.
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Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Sanctions Imposed • 25%
No Major Action • 25%
Humanitarian Aid • 25%
Diplomatic Talks • 25%
Official condemnation • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Mediation initiated • 25%
No significant action • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Frelimo retains power • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
Other political outcome • 25%
Opposition gains power • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Opposition Gains Power • 25%
Continued Unrest • 25%
Government Concessions • 25%
Stable with resolution of disputes • 25%
Stable with minor unrest • 25%
Unstable with significant protests • 25%
Escalating into crisis • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Continued unrest without resolution • 25%
Government concessions • 25%
International mediation • 25%
UN-led intervention • 25%
Other international intervention • 25%
No international intervention • 25%
NATO-led intervention • 25%
