Market
Outcome of Mozambique national strike by March 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Widespread participation and significant impact • 25%
Moderate participation with some impact • 25%
Minimal participation and little impact • 25%
No significant participation • 25%
Reports from credible news agencies and official statements from Mozambique's government and opposition
Story
Daniel Chapo Sworn In as Mozambique's President Amid Deadly Unrest; Cyril Ramaphosa Attends
Jan 15, 2025, 07:32 AM
Daniel Chapo was sworn in as Mozambique's new president on Wednesday, marking the continuation of the Frelimo party's nearly 50-year rule. The inauguration took place amidst ongoing deadly unrest following the disputed October elections, which Chapo won with 65% of the vote. Opposition leader Venancio Mondlane, who claims the election was rigged and alleges he received 53% of the votes, has called for a national strike and vowed to continue protests against Chapo's presidency. The ceremony in Maputo was attended by South African President Cyril Ramaphosa and other dignitaries, though many foreign leaders were absent, reflecting international concerns over the political situation. The unrest has led to over 300 deaths since the election, with tensions remaining high as security forces attempted to control protests during the inauguration.
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Opposition Gains Power • 25%
Government Concessions • 25%
Continued Unrest • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Coalition government formed • 25%
New elections held • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Frelimo retains power • 25%
Frelimo retains power • 25%
Other political outcome • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
Opposition gains power • 25%
Protests lead to government concessions • 25%
Protests dissipate • 25%
Protests continue without resolution • 25%
Protests are suppressed • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
New elections called • 25%
Opposition declared winner • 25%
Frelimo confirmed as winner • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
More than 200 • 25%
50 to 100 • 25%
Less than 50 • 25%
101 to 200 • 25%
No Major Action • 25%
Humanitarian Aid • 25%
Diplomatic Talks • 25%
Sanctions Imposed • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No significant action • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Other response • 25%
Mediation efforts initiated • 25%