Market
Mozambique declares state of emergency by March 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the Mozambique government or credible news sources
Story
Daniel Chapo Sworn In as Mozambique's President Amid Deadly Unrest; Cyril Ramaphosa Attends
Jan 15, 2025, 07:32 AM
Daniel Chapo was sworn in as Mozambique's new president on Wednesday, marking the continuation of the Frelimo party's nearly 50-year rule. The inauguration took place amidst ongoing deadly unrest following the disputed October elections, which Chapo won with 65% of the vote. Opposition leader Venancio Mondlane, who claims the election was rigged and alleges he received 53% of the votes, has called for a national strike and vowed to continue protests against Chapo's presidency. The ceremony in Maputo was attended by South African President Cyril Ramaphosa and other dignitaries, though many foreign leaders were absent, reflecting international concerns over the political situation. The unrest has led to over 300 deaths since the election, with tensions remaining high as security forces attempted to control protests during the inauguration.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No Major Action • 25%
Humanitarian Aid • 25%
Diplomatic Talks • 25%
Sanctions Imposed • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
New elections held • 25%
Frelimo retains power • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Coalition government formed • 25%
Mediation efforts initiated • 25%
Other response • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Escalating into crisis • 25%
Stable with resolution of disputes • 25%
Unstable with significant protests • 25%
Stable with minor unrest • 25%