Market
What will be TikTok's operational status in the U.S. by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Sold to another company • 25%
Operations ceased • 25%
Under new joint venture • 25%
TikTok resumes operations • 25%
TikTok remains banned • 25%
TikTok divested to a U.S. company • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Fully operational • 25%
Partially restricted • 25%
Banned • 25%
Other status • 25%
Official announcements from TikTok, ByteDance, or U.S. government sources
Story
Apple and Google Remove TikTok From U.S. App Stores Following Supreme Court Upholding of Ban
Jan 19, 2025, 04:08 AM
Apple and Google have removed TikTok from their respective app stores in the U.S., following a law that requires ByteDance to divest TikTok or face a ban. The removal means that new downloads of the app are no longer available in the U.S. The Supreme Court upheld the Protecting Americans from Foreign Adversary Controlled Applications Act, which led to TikTok halting its services in the U.S. as of January 19. President-elect Donald Trump has indicated he might give TikTok a 90-day extension to the divestiture deadline, which is set to expire on January 20, the day he is sworn into office.
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Similar markets
Resumes operations • 25%
Remains banned • 25%
Sold to a US company • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Complete ban • 25%
Acquired by U.S. entity • 25%
Unrestricted operations • 25%
Continues with restrictions • 25%
New ownership announced • 25%
Permanently banned • 25%
Continues operation without interruption • 25%
Temporarily suspended • 25%
Temporarily suspended • 33%
Continues operations • 33%
Permanently shut down • 33%
TikTok operates without changes • 25%
Operational under new ownership • 25%
Banned • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
Operational without restrictions • 25%
TikTok operates with restrictions • 25%
TikTok sold and operates under new ownership • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
Operational without restrictions • 25%
Other status • 25%
Banned • 25%
Continues under current ownership • 25%
Continues under new ownership • 25%
Banned • 25%
Temporarily suspended • 25%
TikTok remains operational • 25%
TikTok is banned again • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
Permanently banned • 25%
Temporarily suspended • 25%
Operational without change • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Sold to U.S. company • 25%
Banned and inaccessible • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Shuts down on January 19 • 25%
Continues operation without restrictions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Continues operation with restrictions • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Resumes Operations • 25%
Continues Ban • 25%
Partial Operations • 25%