Market
What will be TikTok's operational status in the US by end of 2025?
2
Senate Intelligence Committee•Tom Cotton•Pete Ricketts•TikTok•Amazon•Apple•Google•Microsoft•ByteDance•Communist China
Resolution / Starting Odds
Resumes Operations • 25%
Continues Ban • 25%
Partial Operations • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Official announcements from TikTok or major news outlets
Story
Tom Cotton and Pete Ricketts Reinforce TikTok Ban, Urge Compliance from Major Tech Firms Amid ByteDance's Grave Threat
Jan 19, 2025, 01:10 PM
Senate Intelligence Committee Chairman Tom Cotton and Senator Pete Ricketts reaffirmed their stance on TikTok, emphasizing that the recently enacted law leaves no room for extending its effective date. They commended major tech companies, including Amazon, Apple, Google, and Microsoft, for complying with the law by halting operations with ByteDance and TikTok. The senators stated that for TikTok to resume operations, ByteDance must comply with the law's qualified-divestiture requirements, which necessitate severing all ties with Communist China. They warned that any violation of the law could lead to severe financial repercussions for companies involved.
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Operational under new ownership • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
TikTok sold and operates under new ownership • 25%
TikTok operates without changes • 25%
TikTok operates with restrictions • 25%
Banned • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
Operational without restrictions • 25%
Permanently banned • 25%
Continues operation without interruption • 25%
New ownership announced • 25%
Temporarily suspended • 25%
Continues with ByteDance • 25%
Ceases US operations • 25%
Acquired by a US company • 25%
Operates independently • 25%
Continues operations • 33%
Permanently shut down • 33%
Temporarily suspended • 33%
Continues operation without restrictions • 25%
Continues operation with restrictions • 25%
Shuts down on January 19 • 25%
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Under new joint venture • 25%
TikTok resumes operations • 25%
TikTok remains banned • 25%
TikTok divested to a U.S. company • 25%
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Banned • 25%
Partially restricted • 25%
Fully operational • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Sold to another company • 25%
Operations ceased • 25%
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Allowed to operate without restrictions • 25%
Allowed to operate with restrictions • 25%
Remains operational without changes • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
Sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Banned • 25%
Remains with ByteDance • 25%
Operational changes without sale • 25%
Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Sold to U.S. company • 25%
Remains banned • 25%
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Sold to a US company • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok U.S. operations • 25%
TikTok remains shut down in the U.S. • 25%
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Other • 25%
Operations continue as is • 25%
Sold to a US company • 25%
Sold to U.S. Entity • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Granted Extension • 25%
Banned • 25%
Other • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
TikTok remains available without changes • 25%
TikTok available with ByteDance divestment • 25%
Banned • 25%
TikTok banned in the US • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Divested • 25%