Market
How will TikTok's operational status in the U.S. be resolved by the end of June 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Continues under current ownership • 25%
Continues under new ownership • 25%
Banned • 25%
Temporarily suspended • 25%
Official announcements from TikTok or the U.S. government and news reports from major outlets
Story
Biden Won't Enforce TikTok Ban Set for Sunday, Leaves Decision to Trump
Jan 16, 2025, 09:59 PM
The Biden administration has announced it does not plan to enforce the TikTok ban scheduled to take effect on Sunday, January 19th, which would force TikTok to go dark for U.S. users. According to an administration official speaking to ABC News, the administration will leave the decision regarding the enforcement of the ban to the incoming Trump administration. "Our position on this has been clear: TikTok should continue to operate under American ownership," the official said. The Biden administration will not enforce the ban during the final 36 hours of President Biden's term if it goes into effect. Any further action regarding enforcement will be up to President-elect Trump and his team. The ban is set to go into effect over the holiday weekend, but the Biden administration effectively leaves its implementation to the next administration.
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Under new joint venture • 25%
Operations ceased • 25%
Sold to another company • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Fully operational • 25%
Partially restricted • 25%
Banned • 25%
Other status • 25%
TikTok resumes operations • 25%
TikTok remains banned • 25%
TikTok divested to a U.S. company • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Political negotiation • 25%
Other • 25%
ByteDance divestment • 25%
Supreme Court ruling • 25%
Ban • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%
No change • 25%
Sale • 25%
Sale to U.S. company • 25%
Continued ban • 25%
Government ownership • 25%
Ban lifted with no changes • 25%
Acquired by U.S. entity • 25%
Continues with restrictions • 25%
Unrestricted operations • 25%
Complete ban • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Sold to a US company • 25%
Remains banned • 25%
Resumes operations • 25%
Business negotiation • 25%
Court decision • 25%
Executive order • 25%
Legislative action • 25%
TikTok is banned again • 25%
TikTok remains operational • 25%
TikTok sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Court ruling enforcement • 25%
Legislative action • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%
Operational without change • 25%
Permanently banned • 25%
Temporarily suspended • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
Supreme Court decision • 25%
No resolution • 25%
ByteDance divestment • 25%
Political resolution by Trump • 25%
Acquired by another entity • 25%
Operations resumed under ByteDance • 25%
Remains banned • 25%
Acquired by Elon Musk • 25%