Market
What will be TikTok's operation status in the US by January 20, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Shuts down on January 19 • 25%
Continues operation with restrictions • 25%
Continues operation without restrictions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Public announcements from TikTok or major news outlets
Story
TikTok to Shut Down in U.S. Sunday Unless Administration Provides Definitive Statement
Jan 18, 2025, 01:54 AM
Social media platform TikTok announced Friday night that it will be forced to 'go dark' and shut down its app in the United States on Sunday, January 19, unless the administration provides a definitive statement assuring that the ban will not be enforced. TikTok criticized the White House and the Department of Justice for failing to provide clarity to service providers crucial to maintaining the app's availability to over 170 million U.S. users. The company stated that unless immediate action is taken, millions of users nationwide will lose access to the app.
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Temporarily suspended • 33%
Permanently shut down • 33%
Continues operations • 33%
New ownership announced • 25%
Continues operation without interruption • 25%
Temporarily suspended • 25%
Permanently banned • 25%
TikTok is sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok is banned • 25%
TikTok remains operational • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
Banned • 25%
Under appeal • 25%
Operational without restrictions • 25%
Banned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Continues operations without changes • 25%
Sold to another company • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Resumes operations • 25%
Remains banned • 25%
Sold to a US company • 25%
Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Operations suspended temporarily • 25%
Operational with ByteDance • 25%
Operational under new ownership • 25%
Operational without restrictions • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
TikTok operates without changes • 25%
Operational under new ownership • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
TikTok sold and operates under new ownership • 25%
TikTok operates with restrictions • 25%
Banned • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Resumes Operations • 25%
Continues Ban • 25%
Partial Operations • 25%
TikTok is sold and remains operational • 25%
TikTok remains operational without changes • 25%
TikTok voluntarily shuts down operations • 25%
TikTok is banned and becomes inaccessible • 25%
Operations ceased • 25%
Other status • 25%
Banned • 25%
Partially restricted • 25%
Fully operational • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok divested to a U.S. company • 25%
TikTok remains banned • 25%
Under new joint venture • 25%
TikTok resumes operations • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Sold to another company • 25%