Market
What will be the impact of TikTok's removal on the U.S. social media landscape by end of 2025?
1
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase in Facebook/Instagram usage • 25%
Rise of a new social media platform • 25%
Shift to Twitter/X • 25%
Other significant change • 25%
Industry analysis reports and market share data from reputable sources
Story
Apple and Google Remove TikTok From U.S. App Stores Following Supreme Court Upholding of Ban
Jan 19, 2025, 04:08 AM
Apple and Google have removed TikTok from their respective app stores in the U.S., following a law that requires ByteDance to divest TikTok or face a ban. The removal means that new downloads of the app are no longer available in the U.S. The Supreme Court upheld the Protecting Americans from Foreign Adversary Controlled Applications Act, which led to TikTok halting its services in the U.S. as of January 19. President-elect Donald Trump has indicated he might give TikTok a 90-day extension to the divestiture deadline, which is set to expire on January 20, the day he is sworn into office.
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Increase in Snapchat Users • 25%
Increase in YouTube Shorts Users • 25%
No Significant Shift • 25%
Increase in Instagram Users • 25%
Significant decrease (>50%) • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Minor decrease (<25%) • 25%
Moderate decrease (25-50%) • 25%
Decrease in users • 25%
Increase in users • 25%
Data not available • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other user behaviors • 25%
Users use VPNs to access TikTok • 25%
Users stop using TikTok • 25%
Significant user migration to competitors • 25%
Launch of new competing platform • 25%
Other response • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased investment in short-form video features • 25%
User base increases • 25%
User base remains stable • 25%
Platform inaccessible • 25%
User base decreases • 25%
TikTok exits U.S. market • 25%
User base decreases • 25%
User base increases • 25%
User base remains stable • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
Banned • 25%
Sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Allowed to operate with restrictions • 25%
Banned completely • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Remains operational without changes • 25%
Allowed to operate without restrictions • 25%
Ban Remains • 25%
Other • 25%
Ban Lifted • 25%
Partial Operations Allowed • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Operations unaffected • 25%
Continues with conditions • 25%
Acquired by US company • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other impact • 25%
Other impacts • 25%
Increase in use of U.S. apps • 25%
Emergence of new platforms • 25%
No significant change • 25%