Market
What will be TikTok's operational status in the U.S. after April 2025?
2
TikTok•United States•ByteDance•China•Supreme Court•Donald Trump•American•CapCut•Lemon8•Lark•MARVEL SNAP•Trump•First Amendment
Resolution / Starting Odds
TikTok remains operational • 25%
TikTok is banned again • 25%
TikTok sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from TikTok or the U.S. government, news reports
Story
TikTok Resumes Service for 170 Million U.S. Users After Trump's 90-Day Delay Intervention
Jan 19, 2025, 06:05 PM
TikTok has resumed service in the United States after being offline for 14 hours due to a federal ban. The app's parent company, ByteDance, faced the ban due to concerns over its data collection practices and ties to China, which was upheld by the Supreme Court. President-elect Donald Trump announced plans to issue an executive order on Monday to delay the ban by 90 days, providing the necessary clarity and assurance to service providers. This allowed TikTok to restore access to its over 170 million American users and support more than 7 million small businesses. Other ByteDance-linked apps such as CapCut, Lemon8, Lark, and MARVEL SNAP were also affected. TikTok expressed gratitude towards Trump for his commitment to First Amendment rights and opposition to arbitrary censorship, and indicated a willingness to work with him on a long-term solution to keep TikTok operational in the U.S. Trump has suggested a potential solution involving a 50% U.S. ownership in a joint venture with TikTok's current or new owners.
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Similar markets
Operational with ByteDance • 25%
Operations suspended temporarily • 25%
Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Operational under new ownership • 25%
Fully operational • 25%
Under new joint venture • 25%
TikTok remains banned • 25%
TikTok divested to a U.S. company • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Sold to another company • 25%
TikTok resumes operations • 25%
Operations ceased • 25%
Other status • 25%
Banned • 25%
Partially restricted • 25%
Resumes operations • 25%
Sold to a US company • 25%
Remains banned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Operational without restrictions • 25%
Other status • 25%
Banned • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
Temporarily suspended • 33%
Permanently shut down • 33%
Continues operations • 33%
Continues under current ownership • 25%
Temporarily suspended • 25%
Banned • 25%
Continues under new ownership • 25%
Permanently banned • 25%
Operational without change • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
Temporarily suspended • 25%
Modified restrictions • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Unresolved • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Shuts down on January 19 • 25%
Continues operation with restrictions • 25%
Continues operation without restrictions • 25%
Temporarily suspended • 25%
Continues operation without interruption • 25%
New ownership announced • 25%
Permanently banned • 25%
Operating under ByteDance • 25%
Banned and shut down • 25%
Operating under temporary extension • 25%
Sold and operating • 25%
