Market
What will be the status of TikTok's U.S. operations by March 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Sold to U.S. company • 25%
Banned and inaccessible • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Official announcements from TikTok, ByteDance, or U.S. government
Story
TikTok CEO Thanks Trump for Commitment to Keep App Available for 170 Million U.S. Users Amid Supreme Court Upholding Ban on ByteDance
Jan 17, 2025, 06:48 PM
TikTok CEO Shou Zi Chew expressed gratitude to President-elect Donald Trump for his commitment to finding a solution to keep the app available in the United States following the Supreme Court's decision to uphold a law that could ban TikTok. In a video message posted on TikTok, Chew thanked Trump for supporting the company's efforts to remain accessible to over 170 million U.S. users, emphasizing Trump's understanding of the platform and his use of it to generate over 60 billion views. The Supreme Court's unanimous ruling supports a law that requires TikTok's parent company, ByteDance, to divest its U.S. operations or face a ban effective January 19. Trump has indicated that he will review the situation before making a decision on the app's future, leaving open the possibility of intervention to prevent the ban, which Chew argued is a stand for the First Amendment and against arbitrary censorship.
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Unrestricted operations • 25%
Complete ban • 25%
Acquired by U.S. entity • 25%
Continues with restrictions • 25%
Operating under ByteDance • 25%
Sold and operating • 25%
Operating under temporary extension • 25%
Banned and shut down • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
Temporarily suspended • 25%
Permanently banned • 25%
Operational without change • 25%
Resumes operations • 25%
Sold to a US company • 25%
Remains banned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Operations ceased • 25%
TikTok resumes operations • 25%
TikTok remains banned • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Sold to another company • 25%
Under new joint venture • 25%
TikTok divested to a U.S. company • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Fully operational • 25%
Partially restricted • 25%
Banned • 25%
Other status • 25%
Remains banned • 25%
Operations resumed under ByteDance • 25%
Acquired by another entity • 25%
Acquired by Elon Musk • 25%
Remains operational without changes • 25%
Operational under new ownership • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
TikTok remains operational with ByteDance ownership • 25%
Other • 25%
TikTok is banned • 25%
TikTok remains operational with new ownership • 25%
Other • 25%
Remains banned • 25%
Resumes operations • 25%
Sold to a US company • 25%
Acquired by a US company • 25%
Continues with ByteDance • 25%
Operates independently • 25%
Ceases US operations • 25%
Facing Legal Challenges • 25%
Under New Ownership • 25%
Operational • 25%
Shutdown • 25%
Ban lifted with no changes • 25%
Sale to U.S. company • 25%
Government ownership • 25%
Continued ban • 25%