Market
What will be the outcome of Rubio's diplomatic efforts in Ukraine by end of 2025?
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Marco Rubio•Donald Trump•Rubio•Ukraine war•Russia•Ukraine•China•Latin America•Middle East•Biden•Venezuela•Trump
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire achieved • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Increased hostilities • 25%
International news reports and official announcements from involved governments
Story
Marco Rubio Set for Secretary of State Confirmation on Inauguration Day, Signaling Shift in Trump Administration
Jan 19, 2025, 03:39 AM
Republican Senator Marco Rubio is expected to be confirmed as the U.S. Secretary of State on January 20, coinciding with Donald Trump's inauguration. During his confirmation hearing on January 16, Rubio, a seasoned politician with extensive experience in foreign relations, emphasized a pragmatic approach to global diplomacy. He has called for 'bold diplomacy' to address international conflicts, including the Ukraine war, advocating for a ceasefire and realistic negotiations involving concessions from both Russia and Ukraine. Rubio has also been vocal about countering China's influence, labeling it the biggest threat to the U.S., and has a history of supporting sanctions against authoritarian regimes in Latin America and the Middle East. He criticized the Biden administration's approach to Venezuela and suggested reconsidering oil licenses granted to companies operating there. His nomination signals a potential shift in U.S. foreign policy towards a more assertive stance under the Trump administration.
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Similar markets
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
Peace settlement reached • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
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Successful ceasefire • 25%
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Stalemate • 25%
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Conflict continues • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
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Improved relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Formal diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
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Increased economic sanctions on Russia • 25%
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Other • 25%
Maintain current support for Ukraine • 25%
Increase diplomatic efforts for peace • 25%
Reduce military aid to Ukraine • 25%
Military alliance • 25%
Human rights advocacy • 25%
Environmental treaty • 25%
Trade agreement • 25%
Ceasefire declared • 25%
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Peace agreement reached • 25%
New sanctions imposed • 25%
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De-escalation agreement • 25%