Market
What will be the outcome of U.S. foreign policy shift on Ukraine by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased military aid • 25%
Decreased military aid • 25%
No change in military aid • 25%
Withdrawal of all military aid • 25%
Official U.S. government policy announcements or reputable news coverage
Story
House Speaker Mike Johnson Rejects Biden's $24 Billion Ukraine Aid Request, Awaiting New President-Elect's Direction
Dec 4, 2024, 04:29 PM
House Speaker Mike Johnson has announced that the U.S. House of Representatives will not be considering additional funding for Ukraine, specifically rejecting a recent request from the Biden administration for $24 billion in military aid. Johnson emphasized that the decision regarding Ukraine aid is no longer in President Biden's purview, stating, "It is not the place of Joe Biden to make that decision. We have a newly elected president, and we’re going to wait and take the new commander-in-chief’s direction on all of that." He further clarified that he does not expect any new funding to be proposed at this time, indicating a shift in policy following the election of Donald Trump as president-elect. Johnson's remarks reflect a broader transition in U.S. foreign policy priorities with the upcoming change in administration.
View original story
Similar markets
Other outcome • 25%
Peace treaty signed • 25%
Conflict continues • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Push for diplomatic solution • 25%
Decrease military support • 25%
Increase military support • 25%
Increased military aid • 25%
Decreased military aid • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
No change • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Formal diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Increased economic sanctions on Russia • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Increased military support • 25%
Decreased military support • 25%
Reduced aid to Ukraine • 25%
Increased aid to Ukraine • 25%
Withdrawal from NATO • 25%
Increased support for NATO • 25%
Continued military escalation • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Diplomatic stalemate • 25%
Decrease support • 25%
Increase support • 25%
Maintain current level • 25%
Withdraw support • 25%
Increased tensions with Russia • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Improved US-Europe relations • 25%
Strengthened Ukraine defense • 25%
Escalation in conflict • 25%
Ceasefire achieved • 25%
Peace settlement achieved • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
De-escalation agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Proposals rejected • 25%
No decision • 25%
Proposals accepted • 25%
Proposals modified • 25%