Market
Outcome of Ukraine's diplomatic efforts by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased military support • 25%
Increased economic sanctions on Russia • 25%
New peace talks initiated • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Official statements from the Ukrainian government and international diplomatic channels
Story
Russian Guided Bomb Strike Kills 13, Injures 63 in Zaporizhzhia
Jan 8, 2025, 03:44 PM
A Russian airstrike using guided aerial bombs on Zaporizhzhia, southeastern Ukraine, killed at least 13 people and injured 63 on Wednesday. Among the injured is a 13-year-old girl. The attack targeted an industrial facility and residential areas, causing significant casualties and damage. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky condemned the attack as a deliberate strike on civilians and emphasized the need for continued pressure on Russia. Rescue operations have been completed.
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Other outcome • 25%
Peace treaty signed • 25%
Conflict continues • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Ukraine remains sovereign • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukraine becomes a Russian ally • 25%
Ukraine splits into regions • 25%
Ceasefire achieved • 25%
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Peace settlement achieved • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Military escalation • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
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Increased territorial control • 25%
Stalemate with current borders • 25%
Formal diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Negotiations occur with no agreements • 25%
No negotiations occur • 25%
Negotiations result in comprehensive agreements • 25%
Negotiations result in partial agreements • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Peace treaty signed • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Partial diplomatic relations established • 25%
Full diplomatic relations established • 25%
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No diplomatic relations established • 25%
Territorial agreement • 25%
Prisoner exchange agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
No change in status • 25%
Withdraws membership request • 25%
Receives alternative guarantees • 25%
Achieves NATO membership • 25%