Market
What will be the outcome of Turkey's military operations in Syria against PKK-YPG by June 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Complete success • 25%
Partial success • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Failure • 25%
Reports from international observers and major news agencies
Story
Erdoğan Vows to Crush PKK, YPG, and ISIS in Syria Amid Political Shifts
Dec 20, 2024, 11:04 AM
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan has declared that the time has come to neutralize terrorist organizations in Syria, emphasizing that this action is necessary to prevent threats from emerging south of Turkey's borders. Erdoğan specifically targeted the PKK and its affiliates, including the YPG, stating that their 'shelf life' has expired and that they are doomed to isolation with no future. He also mentioned that the heads of terrorist organizations such as ISIS and PKK-YPG will be crushed in the shortest time possible. Erdoğan's remarks come in the context of recent political shifts in Syria, following the ouster of President Bashar al-Assad, which has set the stage for intensified efforts against these groups.
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Complete eradication • 25%
Significant reduction • 25%
PKK/YPG strengthens • 25%
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PKK/YPG leadership leaves voluntarily • 25%
Military victory for Turkey • 25%
Peaceful agreement reached • 25%
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Ceasefire reached • 25%
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YPG fully eliminated • 25%
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YPG strengthens • 25%
No significant change in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
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Stalemate with no significant gains • 25%
Operation leads to significant international backlash • 25%
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Successful operation with Turkish control • 25%