Market
What will be the outcome of Turkey's diplomatic efforts to end YPG's occupation in Syria by 2025?
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Tayyip Erdogan•Syria•Turkey•Justice and Development Party•AKP•Ankara•Erdogan•Syrian•Islamic State•ISIS•YPG•Assad regime
Resolution / Starting Odds
YPG disbands and surrenders arms • 25%
YPG maintains current stance • 25%
YPG increases territorial control • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from Turkish or Syrian governments or reports from major news agencies
Story
Erdogan Vows to Crush ISIS and YPG in Syria Post-Assad, Urges Foreign Withdrawal
Jan 15, 2025, 10:12 AM
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has issued a stern warning to all countries to cease their involvement in Syria, asserting that Turkey possesses the capability to decisively confront and eliminate all terrorist organizations within the country. Speaking at a parliamentary group meeting of his Justice and Development Party (AKP) in Ankara, Erdogan emphasized Turkey's readiness to collaborate with Syrian allies to crush groups such as the Islamic State (ISIS) and the Kurdish People's Protection Units (YPG). He specifically highlighted the YPG's occupation of nearly one-third of Syrian territory and its exploitation of the nation's natural resources, stating that the group faces an inevitable end if it does not disband and surrender its arms. Erdogan's comments come in the wake of the fall of the Assad regime, with Turkey expressing its commitment to support the new Syrian administration in rebuilding efforts and addressing security concerns.
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Similar markets
Complete success • 25%
No success • 25%
Partial success • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No significant change in YPG presence • 25%
Partial reduction of YPG presence • 25%
Increased YPG presence • 25%
Complete eradication of YPG presence • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
YPG remains • 25%
YPG relocated • 25%
YPG disbanded • 25%
Partial elimination • 25%
YPG fully eliminated • 25%
No significant change • 25%
YPG strengthens • 25%
Complete elimination • 25%
PKK/YPG gains strength • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Partial reduction • 25%
Some Eliminated • 25%
None Eliminated • 25%
All Eliminated • 25%
Increased Presence • 25%
Increased economic involvement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Security cooperation • 25%
Strengthened diplomatic ties • 25%
Peaceful agreement reached • 25%
Military victory for Turkey • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Minimal impact • 25%
Complete eradication • 25%
Significant reduction • 25%
PKK/YPG strengthens • 25%
Consulate not opened due to diplomatic issues • 25%
Consulate opened but relations remain tense • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Consulate not opened and relations worsen • 25%
Increased tensions with Syrian government • 25%
Improved relations with Syrian government • 25%
Consulate opened and diplomatic relations improved • 25%
Formal alliance or treaty • 25%
Deterioration in relations • 25%
Improved bilateral relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%