Market
What will be the outcome of Turkish efforts against PKK/YPG in Syria by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Complete elimination • 25%
Partial reduction • 25%
No significant change • 25%
PKK/YPG gains strength • 25%
Reports from international observers and news agencies
Story
Turkey to Eliminate PKK/YPG in Syria, Urges U.S. to Reconsider Collaboration
Dec 15, 2024, 09:12 AM
Turkish Defense Minister Yaşar Güler has announced that the PKK/YPG terrorist organization will be eliminated in Syria, a goal supported by both the new Syrian administration and Turkey. Güler emphasized that neither the Syrian people, the new government, nor Turkey will allow the group to act independently or create space for itself. Foreign fighters from the organization will be required to leave Syria, while Syrian members will need to disarm. This statement comes in the context of recent changes in Syria, where the opposition has taken control of significant areas, including Deyrizor, previously a major income source for the PKK/YPG. The minister also highlighted that Turkey has no issues with the Kurdish population in Iraq or Syria, only with terrorists. Furthermore, he mentioned that Turkey has communicated to the United States its readiness to control the Al-Hol camp, where thousands of Daesh terrorists and their families are detained, and has urged the U.S. to reconsider its stance on collaborating with the PKK/YPG in the fight against terrorism.
View original story
Similar markets
No success • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Complete success • 25%
Partial success • 25%
Complete eradication • 25%
Minimal impact • 25%
Significant reduction • 25%
PKK/YPG strengthens • 25%
Increased Presence • 25%
Some Eliminated • 25%
All Eliminated • 25%
None Eliminated • 25%
Partial success with continued PKK/YPG activity • 25%
Operation not conducted • 25%
No significant impact on PKK/YPG presence • 25%
Successful elimination of PKK/YPG presence • 25%
Failure • 25%
Partial success • 25%
Complete success • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Partial elimination • 25%
YPG strengthens • 25%
No significant change • 25%
YPG fully eliminated • 25%
Complete eradication of YPG presence • 25%
Partial reduction of YPG presence • 25%
No significant change in YPG presence • 25%
Increased YPG presence • 25%
Increased PKK/YPG activities • 25%
Significant reduction of PKK/YPG activities • 25%
Successful elimination of PKK/YPG presence • 25%
No significant change • 25%
PKK/YPG disarms • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Stalemate continues • 25%
PKK/YPG eliminated • 25%
Military operation conducted • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Diplomatic resolution reached • 25%
PKK/YPG leadership leaves voluntarily • 25%
No significant change in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Increase in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
Significant reduction in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
YPG disbanded • 25%
YPG relocated • 25%
YPG remains • 25%
Other outcome • 25%