Market
What will be the outcome of Turkey's policy towards YPG in Syria by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Complete eradication of YPG presence • 25%
Partial reduction of YPG presence • 25%
No significant change in YPG presence • 25%
Increased YPG presence • 25%
Official statements from the Turkish government or confirmed reports from international news agencies
Story
Turkish FM Declares Imminent Eradication of Kurdish YPG in Syria, Rejects ISIS Pretext
Jan 6, 2025, 11:35 AM
Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan has declared that the eradication of the Kurdish YPG militia in Syria is imminent. He emphasized that the PKK must lay down its arms as soon as possible and that Ankara will not allow the PKK to gain strength under the pretext of fighting ISIS. Fidan stated that the PKK's empire of violence, built on exploiting the sentiments of Kurdish people, is on the verge of collapse. He also mentioned that Turkey will not agree to any policy that allows the YPG to maintain a presence in Syria.
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YPG fully eliminated • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Partial elimination • 25%
YPG strengthens • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Military victory for Turkey • 25%
Peaceful agreement reached • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Complete success • 25%
Partial success • 25%
No success • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Complete elimination • 25%
PKK/YPG gains strength • 25%
Partial reduction • 25%
Minimal impact • 25%
Significant reduction • 25%
PKK/YPG strengthens • 25%
Complete eradication • 25%
None Eliminated • 25%
Increased Presence • 25%
All Eliminated • 25%
Some Eliminated • 25%
YPG remains • 25%
YPG relocated • 25%
YPG disbanded • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
New strategy announced • 25%
Continued military action • 25%
Policy remains unchanged • 25%
Partial success with continued PKK/YPG activity • 25%
Successful elimination of PKK/YPG presence • 25%
No significant impact on PKK/YPG presence • 25%
Operation not conducted • 25%
YPG maintains current stance • 25%
YPG disbands and surrenders arms • 25%
YPG increases territorial control • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Failure • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Complete success • 25%
Partial success • 25%
Military operation conducted • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Diplomatic resolution reached • 25%
PKK/YPG leadership leaves voluntarily • 25%