Market
What will be the outcome of the current Israel-Hamas negotiations in Doha by March 31, 2025?
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Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Mossad•Shin Bet•Israeli Defense Forces•IDF•Doha•Qatar•Gaza•United States•Egypt•Hamas
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Partial agreement (e.g., hostage release only) • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from involved parties and major news outlets
Story
Netanyahu Sends Delegation to Qatar to Negotiate Gaza Ceasefire and Release of 100 Hostages
Jan 2, 2025, 09:49 PM
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has authorized a delegation, composed of representatives from the Mossad, the Shin Bet, and the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF), to travel to Doha, Qatar, to resume negotiations aimed at securing a ceasefire and the release of 100 hostages in Gaza. The delegation is set to depart on Friday, following a period of stalled talks that have persisted for 15 months. The negotiations are part of ongoing efforts mediated by Qatar, the United States, and Egypt to end the conflict. Hamas has also expressed willingness to engage in these discussions, with some optimism noted among its officials about reaching a successful outcome this time.
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No agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire agreement only • 25%
Hostage exchange deal finalized • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Permanent peace agreement • 25%
Partial Agreement • 25%
Extended ceasefire • 25%
Hostage Release Only • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Resumption of hostilities • 25%
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Prisoner Exchange • 25%
Full ceasefire agreement • 25%
Ceasefire only agreed • 25%
Ceasefire and hostages release agreed • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
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Ceasefire agreement reached but not implemented • 25%
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Ceasefire agreed and hostages released • 25%
Ceasefire agreed, no hostages released • 25%
No ceasefire, hostages released • 25%
Ceasefire without hostages released • 25%
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No ceasefire, hostages released • 25%
Ceasefire with hostages released • 25%
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