Market
What will be the status of hostages in Gaza following negotiations by June 30, 2025?
2
Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Mossad•Shin Bet•Israeli Defense Forces•IDF•Doha•Qatar•Gaza•United States•Egypt•Hamas
Resolution / Starting Odds
All hostages released • 25%
Some hostages released • 25%
No hostages released • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official statements from the Israeli government, Hamas, and major news outlets
Story
Netanyahu Sends Delegation to Qatar to Negotiate Gaza Ceasefire and Release of 100 Hostages
Jan 2, 2025, 09:49 PM
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has authorized a delegation, composed of representatives from the Mossad, the Shin Bet, and the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF), to travel to Doha, Qatar, to resume negotiations aimed at securing a ceasefire and the release of 100 hostages in Gaza. The delegation is set to depart on Friday, following a period of stalled talks that have persisted for 15 months. The negotiations are part of ongoing efforts mediated by Qatar, the United States, and Egypt to end the conflict. Hamas has also expressed willingness to engage in these discussions, with some optimism noted among its officials about reaching a successful outcome this time.
View original story
Similar markets
Hostages remain but negotiations continue • 25%
Some hostages released • 25%
No hostages released • 25%
All hostages released • 25%
No progress in negotiations • 25%
Hostage death toll increases • 25%
All hostages released • 25%
Partial release of hostages • 25%
All hostages released • 25%
New hostages taken • 25%
Partial hostage release • 25%
No hostages released • 25%
Released • 25%
Still held • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Killed • 25%
Some hostages released • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
All hostages released • 25%
No hostages released • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Negotiations break down completely • 25%
Agreement reached and hostages exchanged • 25%
Negotiations continue with no agreement • 25%
Hostage deal reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Hostages released without a formal deal • 25%
No deal reached • 25%
Hostages released • 33%
Partial release of hostages • 34%
No agreement reached • 33%
