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What will be the outcome of the Israel-Hamas negotiation crisis by March 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations collapse • 25%
Partial agreement • 25%
Extended negotiations • 25%
Official announcements from Israeli and Hamas officials or credible news outlets
Story
Israel PM's Office: Hamas Reneges on Explicit Understandings, Veto Power Over Release Creates Last-Minute Crisis
Jan 16, 2025, 08:32 AM
The Israeli Prime Minister's Office has reported that Hamas is reneging on previously agreed-upon points in negotiations, creating a last-minute crisis that threatens the deal's implementation. According to statements from the office, Hamas attempted to withdraw from a clause that grants Israel veto power over the release of individuals deemed as symbols of terrorism. The Israeli government has indicated it will not convene a cabinet meeting until mediators confirm that Hamas has fully agreed to all terms. This situation has raised concerns about the stability of the ongoing negotiations and the potential for further concessions from Israel.
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