Market
What will be the main outcome of Russia-Ukraine negotiations by end of 2025?
2
Sergey Lavrov•Russia•Ukraine•Lavrov•Putin•Kyiv•West•Minsk•UN Security Council•Moscow•Trump•White House
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Full peace treaty • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official agreements or credible reports from international news agencies
Story
Lavrov Rejects Ukraine Ceasefire, Accuses West of Arming Kyiv, Open to Talks with Trump
Dec 26, 2024, 08:35 AM
Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov stated that Russia remains open to negotiations on the Ukraine issue but emphasizes the need for serious, concrete proposals. Lavrov clarified that President Putin’s peace proposals are not preliminary conditions for dialogue. He dismissed the notion of an easy resolution to the Ukraine crisis, expressing that a truce would be a "path to nowhere" that allows Kyiv to regroup and rearm. Lavrov accused the West of using truces to "buy time" to arm Ukraine and noted that the Minsk agreements, which were a UN Security Council decision, were "trampled on" with U.S. backing. He stressed that future agreements must include mechanisms to prevent their violation and address the root causes of the conflict. Lavrov also mentioned that Moscow is ready to consult with the incoming Trump administration on Ukraine, hoping the White House will understand the underlying causes of the conflict. However, he added that Russia has no illusions that Trump’s return to power will automatically lead to negotiations.
View original story
Similar markets
Other • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Peace treaty signed • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Territorial concessions by Russia • 25%
Territorial concessions by Ukraine • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Mutual concessions • 25%
Ukraine splits into regions • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukraine becomes a Russian ally • 25%
Ukraine remains sovereign • 25%
Full peace treaty • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Prisoner Exchange • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Territorial Concessions • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
No progress in negotiations • 25%
Ceasefire without agreement • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
No negotiations occur • 25%
Negotiations result in comprehensive agreements • 25%
Negotiations result in partial agreements • 25%
Negotiations occur with no agreements • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Prisoner exchange agreement • 25%
Territorial agreement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
De-escalation agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
No significant change in the situation • 25%
Complete withdrawal of Russian forces from Ukraine • 25%
Partial withdrawal with territorial concessions • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Partial ceasefire agreement • 25%
Full ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%