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What will be the outcome of Ukraine-Russia negotiations by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Peace agreement • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements or verified news sources covering Ukraine-Russia negotiations
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Trump Adviser Urges Ukraine to Lower Conscription Age to 18 to Address Manpower Issues and Stabilize Front Lines
Jan 13, 2025, 05:10 AM
Donald Trump's incoming National Security Adviser, Mike Waltz, has urged Ukraine to lower its conscription age from 26 to 18 years old. This recommendation comes as part of an effort to address Ukraine's manpower issues on the battlefield and to stabilize the front lines ahead of potential negotiations with Russia. Waltz emphasized the necessity of this move, stating that if Ukraine expects global support for democracy, it must also fully commit to its defense efforts. The suggestion aligns with previous calls from the Biden administration to increase Ukraine's military forces by revising mobilization legislation. However, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has countered that the more urgent need is for Western arms and training rather than lowering the draft age.
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Territorial concessions by Russia • 25%
Mutual concessions • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Territorial concessions by Ukraine • 25%
Full peace treaty • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Peace treaty signed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Full peace treaty • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukraine becomes a Russian ally • 25%
Ukraine remains sovereign • 25%
Ukraine splits into regions • 25%
Other • 25%
Negotiations occur with no agreements • 25%
Negotiations result in comprehensive agreements • 25%
Negotiations result in partial agreements • 25%
No negotiations occur • 25%
Partial ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Full ceasefire agreement • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
No progress in negotiations • 25%
Ceasefire without agreement • 25%
Territorial agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Prisoner exchange agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
De-escalation agreement • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Territorial Concessions • 25%
Prisoner Exchange • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Peace treaty • 25%
No agreement • 25%