Market
What change, if any, will occur in Israeli government policy towards Gaza by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased military presence • 25%
Decreased military presence • 25%
Economic development focus • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Official statements from the Israeli government or credible news sources
Story
Israel's Defense Minister Katz: Security Control Over Gaza with Freedom of Action After Hamas Defeat, Similar to West Bank
Dec 17, 2024, 06:33 AM
Israeli Defense Minister Yisrael Katz has stated that following the defeat of Hamas, Israel will establish security control over Gaza, allowing for full operational freedom in the region. Katz emphasized that this control would be akin to Israel's security arrangements in the West Bank. His remarks come amidst ongoing military operations aimed at dismantling Hamas's military and governmental capabilities in Gaza. Katz's statements reflect a strategic shift in Israel's approach to security in the region, reinforcing the government's commitment to maintaining a strong security presence post-conflict.
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International intervention • 25%
Initiation of peace talks • 25%
Increase in military operations • 25%
Continuation of current strategy • 25%
Ceasefire maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Full military control of Gaza • 25%
Partial military control of Gaza • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Humanitarian aid increase • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Policy reversal • 25%
Policy modification • 25%
Policy continuation • 25%
Increased policy severity • 25%
Full military occupation of Gaza • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Partial military operations • 25%
Continuation of ceasefire • 25%
Hamas remains in control • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
New governing body formed • 25%
Palestinian Authority takes control • 25%
No change • 25%
Increase • 25%
Reduction • 25%
Complete halt • 25%
Policy shift by Hamas • 25%
Policy shift by Israel • 25%
Change in Israeli leadership • 25%
Change in Hamas leadership • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Unknown status • 25%
Partial changes • 25%
New governance structure established • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Increased military action • 25%
Increased humanitarian aid • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Diplomatic efforts • 25%
Increased military action • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased support for Israel • 25%
Maintained current stance • 25%
Increased support for Gaza • 25%