Market
What change will occur in Israeli policy regarding northern Gaza by September 2025?
2
Israeli•Israel•Gaza Strip•Democrat TV•IDF•Arab•Beit Lahia•Beit Hanoun•Jabalia•Benjamin Netanyahu•Jewish
Resolution / Starting Odds
Policy reversal • 25%
Policy modification • 25%
Policy continuation • 25%
Increased policy severity • 25%
Official Israeli government policy announcements or credible news reports
Story
Netanyahu's Ex-Defense Chief Moshe Ya'alon Accuses Israel of Ethnic Cleansing in Northern Gaza
Nov 30, 2024, 03:53 PM
Former Israeli Defense Minister Moshe Ya'alon has accused Israel of engaging in ethnic cleansing in the northern Gaza Strip. In interviews with Democrat TV and other media outlets, Ya'alon, who also served as IDF Chief of Staff, stated that the current path Israel is taking involves occupation, annexation, and ethnic cleansing, effectively clearing the area of Arabs. He highlighted the destruction of towns like Beit Lahia and Beit Hanoun, and ongoing operations in Jabalia aimed at removing the Arab population. Ya'alon, a rightwing hawk, criticized the Israeli government's policies under Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, accusing the leadership of leading the country to ruin. He warned of forced displacement and the establishment of Jewish settlements in the area.
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Increase in military operations • 25%
Initiation of peace talks • 25%
Continuation of current strategy • 25%
International intervention • 25%
Decreased military presence • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Economic development focus • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Humanitarian aid increase • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Partial military control of Gaza • 25%
Full military control of Gaza • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire maintained • 25%
Complete halt • 25%
No change • 25%
Increase • 25%
Reduction • 25%
Partial military operations • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Full military occupation of Gaza • 25%
Continuation of ceasefire • 25%
Increased military spending • 25%
No significant policy change • 25%
New alliances formed • 25%
Upgraded missile defense systems • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased military action • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Diplomatic efforts • 25%
Other • 25%
Policy becomes more aggressive • 25%
Policy becomes more conciliatory • 25%
No significant policy change • 25%
Majority support full military action • 25%
Majority support maintaining ceasefire • 25%
No clear majority • 25%
Majority support partial military action • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased military action • 25%
Increased humanitarian aid • 25%