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What changes will occur in Gaza's governance structure by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
New governance structure established • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Partial changes • 25%
Unknown status • 25%
Reports from credible news agencies or government releases
Story
Israel to Maintain Security Control Over Gaza, Exclude Hamas, and Establish Buffer Zones
Dec 25, 2024, 01:58 PM
Israel's Defense Minister Israel Katz has announced that the Israeli military will maintain security control over Gaza, with plans to establish buffer zones and control positions within the region. This statement was made during a visit to the Philadelphi Corridor, emphasizing that the control will remain in the hands of the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) and that Hamas will be excluded from governance. Katz also mentioned the ongoing efforts to liberate hostages and defeat Hamas, indicating a continued military operation aimed at ensuring no future threats from tunnels or other terrorist infrastructures.
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Other outcome • 25%
New governing body formed • 25%
Hamas remains in control • 25%
Palestinian Authority takes control • 25%
Hamas • 25%
Palestinian Authority • 25%
Other • 25%
International coalition • 25%
Hamas • 25%
International Administration • 25%
Other • 25%
Palestinian Authority • 25%
Joint governance • 25%
Palestinian Authority • 25%
Hamas • 25%
Other • 25%
Israeli government • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Decreased military presence • 25%
Economic development focus • 25%
Israeli administration • 25%
Palestinian Authority • 25%
International oversight • 25%
Other • 25%
No implementation • 25%
Partial implementation • 25%
Implementation delayed • 25%
Successful implementation • 25%
International intervention • 25%
Continuation of current strategy • 25%
Initiation of peace talks • 25%
Increase in military operations • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Control shifts to Palestinian Authority • 25%
Joint control with international oversight • 25%
Hamas remains in control • 25%
