Market
What changes will occur in Israel's humanitarian aid policy to Gaza by May 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Complete halt • 25%
Reduction • 25%
No change • 25%
Increase • 25%
Official announcements or policy documents from the Israeli government
Story
Ben-Gvir Threatens to Quit Netanyahu's Government Over 'Reckless' Gaza Ceasefire and Hostage Deal
Jan 16, 2025, 08:02 PM
Israeli National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir has threatened to resign from Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s government if a proposed ceasefire and hostage exchange deal with Hamas in Gaza is approved. Ben-Gvir, leader of the far-right Otzma Yehudit party, announced during a 9 PM press conference that his party would withdraw from the coalition government should the agreement proceed, labeling the deal as "reckless," "irresponsible," and "a disgrace," and arguing that it destroys all of Israel's military achievements in Gaza. He emphasized that if hostilities resume after the ceasefire, his party would consider rejoining the government. Ben-Gvir has also called for a complete halt to humanitarian aid to Gaza. The potential resignation of Ben-Gvir and his party could collapse Netanyahu’s coalition government.
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Increase in military operations • 25%
International intervention • 25%
Continuation of current strategy • 25%
Initiation of peace talks • 25%
Decreased aid • 25%
No change • 25%
Increased aid • 25%
Conditional aid • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increased security measures • 25%
Reduction in operations • 25%
Cease of operations • 25%
No change in operations • 25%
No changes • 25%
Minor route adjustments • 25%
Major route changes • 25%
Suspension of aid deliveries • 25%
No change in aid • 25%
Increase in aid • 25%
Decrease in aid • 25%
Aid redirected • 25%
