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What changes will occur in Palestinian governance in Gaza by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Hamas remains in control • 25%
Palestinian Authority takes control • 25%
New governing body formed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Reports from credible news agencies or official announcements from Palestinian authorities
Story
Israel's Defense Minister Katz: Full Security Control Over Gaza Post-Hamas Defeat, Similar to West Bank
Dec 17, 2024, 07:44 AM
Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz stated that following the military defeat of Hamas, Israel will establish full security control over Gaza, similar to its current operations in the West Bank. Katz emphasized that Israel will have complete freedom of action in the region, rejecting any return to the pre-October 7 status quo. His remarks come amid ongoing military operations and reflect Israel's intent to maintain a permanent presence in Gaza, ensuring that terrorists cannot threaten Israeli civilians from the area again. Katz's position aligns with previous statements made to U.S. officials, indicating a strategic shift in Israel's approach to Gaza post-conflict.
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Similar markets
Status quo maintained • 25%
Unknown status • 25%
Partial changes • 25%
New governance structure established • 25%
International coalition • 25%
Hamas • 25%
Other • 25%
Palestinian Authority • 25%
Joint governance • 25%
Palestinian Authority • 25%
Other • 25%
International Administration • 25%
Hamas • 25%
Other • 25%
Hamas • 25%
Palestinian Authority • 25%
Israeli government • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Decreased military presence • 25%
Economic development focus • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Initiation of peace talks • 25%
International intervention • 25%
Increase in military operations • 25%
Continuation of current strategy • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Ceasefire maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Partial military control of Gaza • 25%
Full military control of Gaza • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Predominantly negative • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Broad support • 25%