Market
Next major Israeli policy change regarding Gaza by end of 2025?
2
Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Donald Trump•Netanyahu•Trump•Iran nuclear deal•Jerusalem•Israel•Abraham Accords•Arab•Iran•Hamas•Gaza•Sara•Melania•American
Resolution / Starting Odds
Military intervention • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Humanitarian aid increase • 25%
Official announcements from the Israeli government or reports from major news outlets
Story
Netanyahu Congratulates Trump on Second Inauguration, Aims to Defeat Iran's Terror Axis and End Hamas' Rule
Jan 20, 2025, 05:43 PM
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu congratulated U.S. President Donald Trump on his second inauguration, expressing optimism for the future of U.S.-Israel relations. Netanyahu highlighted key achievements from Trump's first term, including the withdrawal from the Iran nuclear deal, recognition of Jerusalem as Israel's capital, and the Abraham Accords, which normalized relations between Israel and several Arab nations. He expressed confidence that under Trump's leadership, the U.S.-Israel alliance would reach new heights, with plans to defeat Iran's 'terror axis', end Hamas' rule in Gaza, and ensure the return of remaining Israeli hostages. Netanyahu's message also included warm wishes from himself and his wife Sara to Trump, Melania, and the American people.
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Economic development focus • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Decreased military presence • 25%
Status quo • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased military action • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Increased humanitarian aid • 25%
Policy modification • 25%
Policy reversal • 25%
Increased policy severity • 25%
Policy continuation • 25%
Continuation of current strategy • 25%
Increase in military operations • 25%
International intervention • 25%
Initiation of peace talks • 25%
Full military control of Gaza • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire maintained • 25%
Partial military control of Gaza • 25%
No change • 25%
Reduction • 25%
Complete halt • 25%
Increase • 25%
Partial military operations • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Full military occupation of Gaza • 25%
Continuation of ceasefire • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Military support to Israel • 25%
Humanitarian aid • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Policy becomes more conciliatory • 25%
Policy becomes more aggressive • 25%
No significant policy change • 25%
Other • 25%
