Market
What alternative actions will TikTok or the U.S. government take by January 19, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
TikTok complies with data provision • 25%
TikTok initiates legal action • 25%
U.S. government extends deadline • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Official announcements from TikTok, U.S. government, or credible news sources
Story
U.S. Lawmakers Warn Apple, Google to Remove TikTok by January 19, Unless ByteDance Divests Its U.S. Operations
Dec 13, 2024, 04:31 PM
Key lawmakers in the U.S. Congress have issued a warning to Apple Inc. and Alphabet Inc., the parent company of Google, to prepare for the removal of TikTok from their app stores by January 19, 2024. This directive comes in the form of letters sent to the companies, emphasizing the urgency of compliance. The warning follows a recent court ruling that requires TikTok's parent company, ByteDance, to divest its U.S. operations or face a ban. Lawmakers have indicated that TikTok must provide its users and creators with a copy of their data by the deadline to facilitate a potential transition to other platforms. The situation underscores ongoing concerns regarding national security and the influence of the Chinese Communist Party over the popular social media application.
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Negotiate with U.S. government • 25%
Seek Supreme Court intervention • 25%
Comply with the ban • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Supreme Court intervention • 25%
Political resolution reached • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Other • 25%
Other action • 25%
Opposes the ban • 25%
Supports the ban • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other measures • 25%
Legal challenge • 25%
Divestment from ByteDance • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Operations continue as is • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
TikTok sold to U.S. company • 25%
Legal appeal filed • 25%
Not banned, but ByteDance divests • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Banned • 25%
Not banned, no divestment • 25%
Complete ban • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other action • 25%
Regulations imposed • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Comply with the ban • 25%
Challenge in court • 25%
Divest from ByteDance • 25%
Political resolution by Trump • 25%
Supreme Court decision • 25%
No resolution • 25%
ByteDance divestment • 25%
No decision made • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Conditional operation allowed • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok • 25%
No resolution • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
Settlement reached, operations continue • 25%
Appeal denied, ban enforced • 25%
Appeal granted, no ban • 25%
Other legal outcome • 25%