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What will be TikTok's next steps in the U.S. if ByteDance fails to divest by January 19, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
TikTok banned • 25%
TikTok sold to U.S. company • 25%
Legal appeal filed • 25%
Operations continue as is • 25%
Official announcements from TikTok or U.S. regulatory bodies
Story
U.S. Court Upholds TikTok Ban Unless ByteDance Divests by Jan. 19
Dec 6, 2024, 03:23 PM
A U.S. federal appeals court has upheld a law requiring ByteDance, the Chinese parent company of TikTok, to divest its ownership of the popular short-video app in the United States. The ruling means that TikTok faces a potential ban in the U.S. if ByteDance does not meet the January 19 deadline to sell the app. This decision could significantly impact the social media landscape, potentially benefiting competitors like Meta Platforms Inc. and Snap Inc. The court's decision comes amidst discussions of potential policy changes under a Trump administration, although Trump has indicated he would reverse the ban.
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Does Not Divest • 25%
Awaiting Supreme Court Decision • 25%
Divests TikTok • 25%
Finds Alternative Solution • 25%
Sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Sold to a non-U.S., non-Chinese company • 25%
No sale completed, TikTok banned • 25%
Extension granted • 25%
TikTok operations suspended • 25%
Other action • 25%
ByteDance retains TikTok • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok • 25%
Not sold • 25%
Sold to non-US company • 25%
Sold to US company • 25%
Announced intent to sell • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
ByteDance divests • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
Successful divestiture • 25%
Extension granted • 25%
Nationwide ban enforced • 25%
Other • 25%
Spin-off • 25%
Other • 25%
Joint Venture • 25%
Complete Sale • 25%
Divestment completed • 25%
No action taken • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Extension granted • 25%
Appeal the ban • 25%
Comply with the ban • 25%
Sell TikTok US operations • 25%
Other • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Divestment of TikTok • 25%
Partnership with US company • 25%
Legal challenge • 25%