Market
How will TikTok's U.S. operations be resolved by January 19, 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Official announcements from ByteDance, U.S. government, or credible news sources
Story
TikTok Files Emergency Appeal to Block U.S. Ban by ByteDance as 170 Million Americans Face January 19 Deadline
Dec 16, 2024, 10:02 PM
TikTok has filed an emergency appeal with the U.S. Supreme Court seeking to block a federal law that could lead to a nationwide ban on the app unless its China-based parent company, ByteDance, agrees to sell it. The appeal comes as the law's enforcement deadline approaches on January 19, 2024. TikTok's legal team argues that the ban poses a significant threat to the platform's operations in the United States, which is used by approximately 170 million Americans. The company is urging the Supreme Court to intervene before the deadline to prevent the law from taking effect. The request follows a recent ruling by three federal appeals court judges who upheld the law, increasing pressure on TikTok to act swiftly.
View original story
Similar markets
Negotiated settlement • 25%
Legislative action • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Court ruling enforcement • 25%
Ban • 25%
No change • 25%
Sale • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%
Political resolution by Trump • 25%
Supreme Court decision • 25%
No resolution • 25%
ByteDance divestment • 25%
Continued ban • 25%
Sale to U.S. company • 25%
Ban lifted with no changes • 25%
Government ownership • 25%
Executive order • 25%
Legislative action • 25%
Business negotiation • 25%
Court decision • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Operates under U.S. subsidiary • 25%
Sold to non-Chinese company • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Sold to a US company • 25%
Shut down • 25%
Continues without changes • 25%
Other • 25%
Political negotiation • 25%
Supreme Court ruling • 25%
ByteDance divestment • 25%
Political resolution reached • 25%
Other • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Supreme Court intervention • 25%
Continues under current ownership • 25%
Continues under new ownership • 25%
Banned • 25%
Temporarily suspended • 25%
Sold to Elon Musk • 25%
Supreme Court delays or overturns the ban • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok sold to an approved buyer • 25%
Supreme Court upholds ban and TikTok shuts down • 25%
Other • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Sold to Elon Musk's X • 25%
Not sold, ban overturned • 25%
Sold to another U.S. entity • 25%
Operations banned in the U.S. • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Divestment completed • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Continues operations without change • 25%
Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Acquired by Elon Musk • 25%
Acquired by another entity • 25%