Market
What will be the resolution of TikTok's appeal and subsequent actions by January 19, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Appeal granted, no ban • 25%
Appeal denied, ban enforced • 25%
Settlement reached, operations continue • 25%
Other legal outcome • 25%
Court rulings and official announcements from TikTok or ByteDance
Story
Lawmakers Warn Apple, Google: Remove TikTok by January 19 if ByteDance Doesn't Sell
Dec 14, 2024, 05:36 AM
Key House lawmakers from the House Select Committee on the Chinese Communist Party have warned Apple and Google to prepare to remove TikTok from their U.S. app stores by January 19 if the app's Chinese parent company, ByteDance, does not sell its U.S. operations. TikTok, used by 170 million Americans, is scrambling in federal court to halt a federal law requiring ByteDance to divest to a U.S. owner or face a ban in the U.S. on January 19. A federal appeals court has rejected TikTok's request to temporarily halt the impending ban, leaving the mid-January deadline in place. TikTok is expected to appeal to the Supreme Court. The lawmakers emphasize concerns over national security and data privacy due to TikTok's ties to China.
View original story
Similar markets
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban avoided through sale • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
Case ongoing • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Divestment completed • 25%
Legal challenge ongoing • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban blocked • 25%
Sold to another entity • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Other legal outcome • 25%
Case dismissed on other grounds • 25%
First Amendment challenge succeeds • 25%
First Amendment challenge fails • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
First Amendment upheld • 25%
First Amendment rejected • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Ban blocked • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Compromise reached • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Appeal Granted • 25%
Appeal Denied • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Divestment proceeds • 25%
Divestment postponed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Divestment blocked • 25%
Divestment and restructuring • 25%
Full operational clearance • 25%
Operational with conditions • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban upheld, TikTok banned • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban upheld, ByteDance divests • 25%