Market
What actions will TikTok take in response to the potential ban by January 19, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Seek Supreme Court intervention • 25%
Negotiate with U.S. government • 25%
Comply with the ban • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Official announcements from TikTok or legal filings
Story
Trump Meets TikTok CEO, Hints at Reversing January Ban
Dec 16, 2024, 08:57 PM
President-elect Donald Trump indicated he may reconsider the impending ban on TikTok in the United States, expressing a "warm spot in my heart for TikTok" during a press conference on Monday. Trump credited the Chinese-owned video-sharing app with helping him win young voters by a margin of 34 points, saying "some say TikTok had something to do with that." The ban, set to take effect on January 19, 2025, was initiated over national security concerns due to TikTok's Chinese ownership. "We'll take a look at TikTok," Trump said when asked about possibly stopping the ban. Later that day, Trump met with TikTok CEO Shou Zi Chew at his Mar-a-Lago resort in Florida, signaling openness to reversing his previous hard-line stance from 2020 when he was president. TikTok has also petitioned the Supreme Court to temporarily block the ban.
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Other actions • 25%
Divest from ByteDance • 25%
Challenge in court • 25%
Comply with the ban • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other measures • 25%
Divestment from ByteDance • 25%
Legal challenge • 25%
Legal appeal and no divestment • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Complete divestment from TikTok • 25%
Partial divestment or restructuring • 25%
Negotiate settlement • 25%
Comply with divestment • 25%
No major action • 25%
File new lawsuit • 25%
Other • 25%
Shut down U.S. operations • 25%
Sell U.S. operations • 25%
Comply with ban • 25%
Stop using TikTok • 25%
Switch to alternative apps • 25%
Use VPNs to access TikTok • 25%
Other actions • 25%
U.S. government extends deadline • 25%
TikTok complies with data provision • 25%
No significant action • 25%
TikTok initiates legal action • 25%
Sells TikTok to a non-China-based company • 25%
Negotiates a delay or solution with U.S. government • 25%
Permanently shuts down TikTok in the U.S. • 25%
Continues operations without compliance • 25%
Appeal the ban • 25%
Other • 25%
Sell TikTok US operations • 25%
Comply with the ban • 25%
Cease U.S. Operations • 25%
Win Legal Battle • 25%
Other Action • 25%
Sell U.S. Operations • 25%
Seek diplomatic intervention • 25%
File another legal challenge • 25%
Cease U.S. operations permanently • 25%
Other action • 25%
Legal action • 25%
Other response • 25%
Negotiation with US authorities • 25%
Alternative business strategy • 25%