Market
What action will the Biden administration take regarding TikTok by January 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
No action taken • 25%
Supports the ban • 25%
Opposes the ban • 25%
Other action • 25%
Official statements from the Biden administration or news reports
Story
Supreme Court Upholds TikTok Ban Unless Chinese Owner ByteDance Divests by Sunday
Jan 17, 2025, 03:20 PM
The U.S. Supreme Court has unanimously upheld a federal law requiring TikTok's China-based parent company, ByteDance, to divest its ownership of the popular social media platform or face a nationwide ban. The decision paves the way for TikTok to be banned in the United States as soon as Sunday, January 19, unless ByteDance complies with the divestiture requirement. The Court sided with Congress's national security concerns over claims that the ban violates the First Amendment. The Biden administration has signaled that no action will be taken, and it remains unclear what options are available to President-elect Donald Trump when he assumes office on Monday.
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Enforces ban • 25%
Require divestment • 25%
Allow TikTok without changes • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other action • 25%
Lifts ban • 25%
Ban TikTok • 25%
Negotiates new ownership • 25%
Ban TikTok • 25%
Implement restrictions • 25%
Promote TikTok • 25%
No action • 25%
Other action • 25%
Intervenes to prevent ban • 25%
Supports the ban • 25%
Takes no action • 25%
No statement issued • 25%
Definitive statement issued • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Supports divestment • 25%
Reverses ban • 25%
No action taken • 25%
New policy announced • 25%
Other action • 25%
Supports the ban • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Executive order to keep TikTok • 25%
Temporary allowance • 25%
Permanent ban • 25%
Other measure • 25%
No change • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Complete ban • 25%
Regulations imposed • 25%
Other action • 25%
Ban modified • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Other • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Divestment plan announced • 25%
Preserves operations • 25%
Delays ban • 25%
Other action • 25%
No action • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Extension granted • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Negotiations with ByteDance • 25%