Market
What actions will TikTok take to avoid a US ban by January 31, 2025?
2
Rand Paul•Supreme Court•TikTok•Chinese•ByteDance•United States•Paul•First Amendment•Americans•Oracle•American•Meta•Google
Resolution / Starting Odds
Divestment from ByteDance • 25%
Legal challenge • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other measures • 25%
Official announcements from TikTok or credible news reports
Story
Rand Paul Criticizes TikTok Ban, Cites First Amendment and January 19 Deadline
Jan 18, 2025, 02:17 PM
Senator Rand Paul has strongly criticized the Supreme Court's decision to uphold a federal law mandating TikTok's divestment from its Chinese parent company, ByteDance, or face a ban in the United States. The deadline for divestment is January 19. Paul described the decision as a violation of the First Amendment, asserting that the ruling was based on accusations rather than concrete evidence. He argued that banning TikTok, used by 170 million Americans and ranked as the fourth most-used social media app in the U.S., is an authoritarian action inconsistent with the principles of free speech. Paul also pointed out that TikTok has offered measures such as storing data on Oracle's cloud and establishing an American board to address national security concerns. He criticized fears over data usage as overstated, comparing them to concerns about American companies like Meta and Google. Despite the Supreme Court's ruling, Paul expressed disappointment and joined TikTok as an act of civil disobedience, encouraging users to resist the ban.
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Similar markets
Negotiate with U.S. government • 25%
Seek Supreme Court intervention • 25%
Comply with the ban • 25%
Other actions • 25%
File new lawsuit • 25%
No major action • 25%
Comply with divestment • 25%
Negotiate settlement • 25%
Challenge in court • 25%
Divest from ByteDance • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Comply with the ban • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Complete divestment from TikTok • 25%
Partial divestment or restructuring • 25%
Legal appeal and no divestment • 25%
Negotiation with US authorities • 25%
Legal action • 25%
Alternative business strategy • 25%
Other response • 25%
No changes • 25%
Operational changes • 25%
Complete divestiture • 25%
Partial divestiture • 25%
Compliance with US regulations • 25%
Partnership with US company • 25%
Legal challenge • 25%
Other • 25%
Continues operations without compliance • 25%
Negotiates a delay or solution with U.S. government • 25%
Sells TikTok to a non-China-based company • 25%
Permanently shuts down TikTok in the U.S. • 25%
Comply with the ban • 25%
Appeal the ban • 25%
Other • 25%
Sell TikTok US operations • 25%
Partnership with US company • 25%
Divestment of TikTok • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Legal challenge • 25%
TikTok initiates legal action • 25%
TikTok complies with data provision • 25%
No significant action • 25%
U.S. government extends deadline • 25%
File another legal challenge • 25%
Seek diplomatic intervention • 25%
Cease U.S. operations permanently • 25%
Other action • 25%