Market
How will the TikTok U.S. operations issue be resolved by January 19, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Supreme Court decision • 25%
Political resolution by Trump • 25%
ByteDance divestment • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Official government announcements or ByteDance press releases
Story
U.S. DOJ Urges Supreme Court to Reject Trump's Request to Delay TikTok Ban, Citing National Security
Jan 3, 2025, 10:39 PM
The U.S. Department of Justice has urged the Supreme Court to reject President-elect Donald Trump's request to delay the implementation of a law that would ban TikTok in the U.S. unless its Chinese parent company, ByteDance, divests from it by January 19. The Supreme Court is set to hear oral arguments on January 10, just days before the law is scheduled to take effect. Trump has expressed opposition to the ban, citing his desire to resolve the issue politically once he takes office on January 20. TikTok, used by 170 million Americans, has argued that the law stems from its refusal to censor certain viewpoints, while the Justice Department maintains that the law aims to sever the app's ties to the Chinese government due to national security concerns. The outcome of the Supreme Court's decision could have significant implications for the platform's users.
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Court ruling enforcement • 25%
Legislative action • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%
Ban • 25%
No change • 25%
Sale • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
No resolution • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Sale to U.S. company • 25%
Ban lifted with no changes • 25%
Continued ban • 25%
Government ownership • 25%
Court decision • 25%
Business negotiation • 25%
Executive order • 25%
Legislative action • 25%
Political Resolution • 25%
Legal Battle Continues • 25%
TikTok Banned • 25%
Divestment • 25%
Political resolution reached • 25%
Supreme Court intervention • 25%
Other • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Sold to a US company • 25%
Shut down • 25%
Continues without changes • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Sold to non-Chinese company • 25%
Operates under U.S. subsidiary • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Continues under new ownership • 25%
Banned • 25%
Temporarily suspended • 25%
Continues under current ownership • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
Divestment completed • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Operations banned in the U.S. • 25%
Not sold, ban overturned • 25%
Sold to another U.S. entity • 25%
Sold to Elon Musk • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Supreme Court delays or overturns the ban • 25%
TikTok sold to an approved buyer • 25%
Other • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Sold to Elon Musk's X • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Supreme Court upholds ban and TikTok shuts down • 25%
Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Acquired by Elon Musk • 25%
Acquired by another entity • 25%
Continues operations without change • 25%